Quarterly Summary

Q1 FY2026 Federal Contracting Summary

October-December 2025-2026 Spending Analysis

Bidara Research Team·January 1, 2026·12 min read

Executive Summary

Q1 FY2026 (October-December) saw $58.6B in federal contract obligations. This represents a -80% change from Q4's $290.1B.

Quarterly Highlights: - Total Contract Obligations: $58.6B - Top Agency: Department of Veterans Affairs ($17.3B) - Leading Industry: Facilities Support Services ($7.8B) - Small Business Set-Asides: $2.3B (4.0% of total)

FY2026 Progress: Q1 establishes the baseline for FY2026. Early fiscal year spending reflects new appropriations and continuing programs.

Spending Breakdown

Detailed analysis of Q1 FY2026 contract obligations.

Total Spending: $58.6B - Previous Quarter (Q4): $290.1B - Quarter-over-Quarter Change: -80%

Spending Distribution: - Defense Sector: $1.4B (2.4%) - Civilian Agencies: $57.2B (97.6%)

Spending Patterns: Q1 spending reflects new fiscal year appropriations and multi-year contract funding.

Agency Analysis

Top federal agencies by Q1 FY2026 contract obligations.

Top 15 Agencies: 1. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA): $17.3B - 29.6% 2. Department of Energy (DOE): $13.4B - 22.8% 3. Department of Homeland Security (DHS): $10.1B - 17.3% 4. General Services Administration (GSA): $3.5B - 6.0% 5. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS): $2.4B - 4.2% 6. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA): $2.1B - 3.7% 7. Department of Transportation (DOT): $1.8B - 3.0% 8. Department of Justice (DOJ): $1.5B - 2.5% 9. Department of Defense (DOD): $1.4B - 2.4% 10. Department of Agriculture (USDA): $1.2B - 2.1% 11. Department of the Treasury (TREAS): $1.1B - 1.8% 12. Department of State (DOS): $531M - 0.9% 13. Department of Commerce (DOC): $507M - 0.9% 14. Department of the Interior (DOI): $430M - 0.7% 15. Department of Labor (DOL): $394M - 0.7%

Agency Sector Analysis: - Defense spending remains dominant at 2.4% of total - Healthcare agencies (VA, HHS) combined: $19.8B - Technology-focused agencies (GSA, NASA, DHS) active in modernization initiatives

Small Business Performance

Small business set-aside program performance for Q1 FY2026.

Set-Aside Spending: $2.3B (4.0% of total)

Program Breakdown: - 8(a) Business Development Program: $1.3B - Service-Disabled Veteran-Owned (SDVOSB): $1.0B - HUBZone: $26M - Women-Owned Small Business (WOSB): $19M

Small Business Analysis: Q1 small business spending at 4.0% is below the 23% annual goal. Quarterly figures often vary—annual totals are the key measure.

Program Trends: - 8(a) Business Development continues to lead small business contracting - Service-Disabled Veteran-Owned shows strong performance - Agencies increasingly using set-asides for IT and professional services

Q2 FY2026 Outlook

Outlook for Q2 FY2026 and beyond.

Expected Trends: - Continued program execution and new requirements - Steady contracting activity expected - Mid-year budget adjustments possible

Key Focus Areas: - IT modernization and cybersecurity investments continuing - Cloud migration and zero trust implementation - Healthcare services demand (VA, HHS) - Infrastructure and sustainability initiatives

Opportunities: - Monitor SAM.gov for new solicitations - Engage with agency small business offices - Track agency procurement forecasts - Position for upcoming recompetes

Contractor Recommendations: 1. Review agency strategic plans for FY priorities 2. Build relationships with program offices 3. Ensure compliance certifications are current 4. Prepare competitive pricing strategies 5. Develop past performance documentation

Data Sources

USASpending.gov APIFederal Procurement Data System (FPDS)SAM.govAgency Budget Justifications

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